U.S. diplomats actively working with Turkiye to prevent possible  escalation in South Caucasus

ArmInfo. In Armenia, the greatest concern should be about the developments around Iran. This was written by expert Suren Sargsyan on his Facebook account.

"First of all, we need to understand that at the moment the Trump  administration does not have a clear strategy regarding Iran. This is  evident from the statements and positions of various representatives  of the Trump team regarding the American policy towards Iran. If the  Trump administration decides to normalize relations with Iran, this  means negotiations that will lead to clear agreements. I am sure that  the Iranian side will comply with these agreements. I am also sure  that Trump will also preserve the agreements, since his previous  decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal with Iran was due to the  fact that he did not sign this agreement and believed that it did not  meet the interests of the United States," the expert noted.

He called for not being surprised by the fact that the issue of  bypassing Resolution 907 or leaving it in force could also become an  extremely important indicator here. The security assistance provided  to Azerbaijan, according to the expert, has always been provided not  against Armenia, but against Iran. "Actually, the Americans have  never denied this. Therefore, if the Trump administration provides  assistance to Azerbaijan, this means that some active actions against  Iran are still possible. On the other hand, according to unconfirmed  information that appeared in the American press, Trump asked the  Russian president to act as a mediator in the possible process of  normalizing relations between Iran and the United States. This  circumstance also indicates that the prospect of normalizing  relations between Iran and the United States still remains. This, of  course, is an optimistic trend, especially given the statement by the  head of intelligence Gabbard that at this stage Iran is not creating  nuclear weapons. All this forced Trump to give Iran two months to  begin negotiations. I would like to emphasize once again that the  Trump administration's policy towards Iran is not yet complete.  Following the American press, we can conclude that the Trump  administration has not yet developed a final policy and a clear  strategy on the Iranian issue and is in a wait-and-see mode. There is  no shortage of "hawkish" figures on Iran in Trump's team, but there  are also many supporters of negotiations (here we should again recall  Gabbard's cold statement). It is noticeable that in recent days the  American diplomatic apparatus has been actively working with Turkey,  trying to prevent a possible escalation in our region. A possible  escalation could not only negatively affect the Russian-American  negotiations (after all, a global conflict is forming right under  Russia's nose, to which Moscow cannot remain indifferent), but also  seriously complicate possible negotiations between the United States  and Iran. It is obvious that as a result of possible actions against  the Syunik region of Armenia, Iran will be forced to take certain  steps to prevent the loss of its external border, which will  ultimately lead to the involvement of Turkey. Israel will certainly  benefit from such a development of events," the expert notes.

He did not rule out the existence of states that are negatively  disposed towards the possible normalization of US-Iran relations. And  this concerns not only Israel, but also Turkey, since as a result of  normalization of relations with Iran, Turkey's role and importance in  the region for the US will significantly decrease, while Iran's  regional role will increase significantly. And for Turkey, Iran is  the main competitor.

"Another fact: no matter how much Israel influences Trump, the latter  is in no hurry to take steps towards Iran that, in his opinion, will  not meet the interests of the United States. Ultimately, the deal  between Iran and the US does not meet the interests of Israel, but  the same cannot be said about the United States, especially when  considered in the context of containing China. Let's not forget that  in any case, the "America First" principle applies to Trump, and  Israel's interests do not always 100% coincide with the interests of  the United States," Sargsyan wrote.