
ArmInfo. Israel will not allow Turkey to turn Syria into a Turkish military bridgehead, according to Israeli political scientist Alexander Tsinker.
Commenting on reports that Israel carried out eight strikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase in the Idlib province on the night of August 18, the expert noted that available information indicates damage to the runway and storage facilities, with no casualties reported.
"Israel is officially maintaining silence, but U.S. Envoy Tom Barrack has already called the attack an 'unnecessary escalation'. According to Israeli media reports, the U.S. received sensitive intelligence in advance regarding what was happening at the base. However, what interests me most here is the choice of target. Turkey was helping to restore Abu al-Duhur, and a Turkish delegation recently visited the site. At the same time, Ankara is installing radars in Syria and participating in the restoration of the air defense system. For Turkey, this means strengthening the allied regime of Ahmed al-Sharaa. For Israel, it means a gradual restriction of its operational freedom in the air," the analyst believes.
Tsinker believes that Ankara's sharp reaction to the strikes on Idlib stems from these factors. He recalled that the Turkish Foreign Ministry demanded an end to Israeli aggression and that Israel be held accountable. "Turkey reacted almost as if the strike had been carried out on its own base. Politically, I think it basically was. Previously, Israel destroyed warehouses, headquarters, and air defense systems in Syria that Iran tried to use to dig in. Now, the vacated space is being filled by Turkey. Erdogan is not the ayatollahs, and Turkey is a NATO member. However, Turkish radars and air defense systems are fully capable of restricting the operations of the Israeli Air Force just as effectively as Iranian ones. If Israel is indeed behind this strike, I see it as a new red line: Damascus can be friends with Ankara, but it will not be permitted to turn Syria into a Turkish military bridgehead," the analyst stated.
Tsinker added that a new rival is emerging for Israel on the Syrian playing field—one that is stronger, more ambitious, and formally a U.S. ally. "It looks like they decided to break the concrete now, before they have to destroy Turkish radars and air defense crews along with it," the Israeli expert concluded.